Based on the last 12 BoC Interest Rate Decision events in Canada, we expect EMD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect EMD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-09-17 13:45 if the released value is = 2.5%. A price movement of 436 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
30 Jul 13:45 |
04 Jun 13:45 |
12 Mar 13:45 |
11 Dec 14:45 |
23 Oct 13:45 |
04 Sep 13:45 |
24 Jul 13:45 |
10 Apr 13:45 |
06 Mar 14:45 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
