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We expect a $410 movement on AUDUSD within 4 hours following the release of ISM Manufacturing PMI.

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-02-03 15:00 if the released value is > 49.8. A price movement of 41 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Jan 15:00
02 Dec 15:00
01 Feb 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $194 movement on USDJPY within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-02-03 15:00.

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