Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, we expect ES to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > $-68.5B
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
05 Jan 13:30 |
06 Dec 13:30 |
05 Oct 12:30 |
04 Aug 12:30 |
08 Feb 13:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).