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We expect a 3762 pip movement on ES within 2 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, we expect ES to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > $-68.5B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Jan 13:30
06 Dec 13:30
05 Oct 12:30
04 Aug 12:30
08 Feb 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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There is a 66.67% chance of NZDUSD trending upwards

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D’après les 12 derniers événements de Balance Commerciale en États-Unis, nous attendons un mouvement de 53 pips sur EURUSD dans les 12 heures suivant la publication de l’événement à 2023-02-07 13:30.

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