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We expect a 322 pip movement on LE within 48 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect a 322 pip movement on LE within 48 hours following the event release at 04 Aug 01:30 UTC. We expect LE to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 04 Aug 01:30 UTC if the released value is < A$8.8B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Jul 01:30
06 Feb 00:30
05 Dec 00:30
03 Oct 01:30
05 Sep 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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