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We expect a 29 pip movement on KW within 4 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Japan, we expect KW to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect KW to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-01-29 05:00 if the released value is < 36.6. A price movement of 29 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Jan 05:00
30 Oct 05:00
29 Aug 05:00
01 Jul 05:00
29 May 05:00
09 Apr 05:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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