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We expect a 2,600 pip movement on C within 12 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1st Est events in France, we expect a 2,600 pip movement on C within 12 hours following the event release at 29 Oct 05:30 UTC. We expect C to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 29 Oct 05:30 UTC if the released value is > 2.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Apr 05:30
29 Jan 06:30
30 Oct 06:30
30 Oct 06:30
30 Jan 06:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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