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We expect a $199.801 movement on ZB within the next 48 hours.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, we expect a $199.801 movement on ZB within the next 48 hours. We expect ZB to trend upwards for 48 hours because the released value is > ¥202.3B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 May 23:50
18 Apr 23:50
16 Feb 23:50
17 Nov 23:50
18 Aug 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect NQ to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

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We expect a 352 pip movement on CL within 48 hours following the event release.

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