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We expect a 1975 pip movement on RTY within 48 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, we expect a $39424 movement on RTY within 48 hours following the event release at 2023-07-19 23:50. We expect RTY to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2023-07-19 23:50 if the released value is > ¥-46.7B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 May 23:50
19 Apr 23:50
15 Feb 23:50
20 Jul 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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Esperamos un movimiento de 793 pips en el GF dentro de unas 48 horas posteriores a la publicación del evento.

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