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We expect a $170 movement on NZDUSD within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-03-28 07:00.

Based on past United Kingdom Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 80% chance of NZDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > -0.3%. A price movement of 17 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

21 Feb 07:00
20 Sep 06:00
21 Jun 06:00
22 Mar 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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