Based on past United Kingdom Balance of Trade news events there is a 66.67% chance of ES trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < £-11.7B. A price movement of 4150 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
13 Jul 06:00![]() |
12 May 06:00![]() |
11 Mar 07:00![]() |
10 Sep 06:00![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).