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We expect a $16597950 movement on NIY within 48 hours following the event release at 2023-12-14 13:15.

Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect a $16597950 movement on NIY within 48 hours following the event release at 2023-12-14 13:15. We expect NIY to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 2023-12-14 13:15 if the released value is = 4.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

26 Oct 12:15
27 Jul 12:15
15 Jun 12:15
04 May 12:15
16 Mar 13:15
02 Feb 13:15
27 Oct 12:15
08 Sep 12:15

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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