Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, we expect MW to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 70% chance of this. We expect MW to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-03-19 03:00 if the released value is = 0.5%. A price movement of 10 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
24 Jan 03:30 |
19 Dec 03:00 |
20 Sep 03:00 |
14 Jun 03:25 |
26 Apr 03:00 |
23 Jan 03:00 |
19 Dec 03:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
