Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United Kingdom, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-09-19 06:00 if the released value is > 0.4%. A price movement of 119 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
05 Sep 06:00![]() |
23 May 06:00![]() |
25 Apr 06:00![]() |
21 Feb 07:00![]() |
18 Oct 06:00![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).