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We expect a $1501 movement on USDCHF within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-09-19 06:00.

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United Kingdom, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-09-19 06:00 if the released value is > 0.4%. A price movement of 119 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Sep 06:00
23 May 06:00
25 Apr 06:00
21 Feb 07:00
18 Oct 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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