Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in France, we expect a 96 pip movement on MW within 48 hours following the event release at 2024-10-31 07:45. We expect MW to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 2024-10-31 07:45 if the released value is > 1.1%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
30 Aug 06:45 |
30 Apr 06:45 |
29 Feb 07:45 |
31 Jan 07:45 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
