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We expect a $14154 movement on ZC within 48 hours following the release of Inflation Rate YoY Prel.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Italy, we expect a $14154 movement on ZC within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-03-31 09:00. We expect ZC to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-03-31 09:00 if the released value is = 1.9%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Feb 10:00
31 May 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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