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We expect a 112 pip movement on USDCAD within 48 hours following the event release.

We expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past Canada Ivey PMI s.a news events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 55.2. A price movement of 112 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Jul 14:00
05 Jun 14:00
06 Mar 15:00
04 Oct 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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