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We expect 6C to trend upwards today.

Based on the last 12 BoC Interest Rate Decision events in Canada, we expect 6C to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 81.82% chance of this. We expect 6C to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 28 Oct 14:00 if the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 0 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Sep 14:00
15 Jul 14:00
03 Jun 14:00
15 Apr 14:00
04 Dec 15:00
04 Sep 14:00
10 Jul 14:00
29 May 14:00
24 Apr 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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