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We expect 6A to trend upwards today with a 83.33% chance.

Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, we expect 6A to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect 6A to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 25 Mar 09:00 if the released value is > 87.7. A price movement of 0 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Feb 09:00
18 Dec 09:00
24 Sep 08:00
24 Jun 08:00
25 Mar 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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