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There is a 87.5% chance of UB trending upwards

Based on past Australia Employment Change news events there is a 87.5% chance of UB trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 35K. A price movement of 64 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Dec 00:30
19 Nov 00:30
15 Oct 00:30
17 Sep 01:30
13 Aug 01:30
16 Jul 01:30
16 Apr 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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