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There is a 83.33% chance of USDCHF trending downwards

Based on past Euro Area Unemployment Rate news events there is a 83.33% chance of USDCHF trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 7.5%. A price movement of 2 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Jul 09:00
31 Jan 10:00
31 Oct 10:00
01 Oct 09:00
31 Aug 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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