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There is a 80% chance of USDJPY trending downwards

Based on past Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence Index news events there is a 80% chance of USDJPY trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 101. A price movement of 5 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Jun 00:30
12 Mar 23:30
16 Jan 00:30
12 Sep 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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