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There is a 80% chance of RTY trending downwards

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United Kingdom, we may expect RTY to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We made this conclusion because the released value is > 3.3%. A price movement of 225 pips may be experienced.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Feb 07:00
20 Nov 07:00
17 Jul 06:00
22 May 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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