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There is a 75% chance of USDJPY trending downwards

We expect a $120 movement on USDJPY within the next 4 hours. We expect USDJPY to trend downwards 4 hours following the Unemployment Rate events in France release because the released value is > 7.3%. A price movement of 16 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Nov 06:30
13 Aug 05:30
14 Nov 06:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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