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There is a 71.43% chance of USDCHF trending upwards

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect a $129 movement on USDCHF within 4 hours following the event release at 2023-01-12 00:30. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2023-01-12 00:30 if the released value is > A$10.5B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Dec 00:30
04 Aug 01:30
02 Jun 01:30
05 May 01:30
03 Mar 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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D’après les 12 derniers événements de Balance Commerciale en Australie, nous attendons un mouvement de 26 pips sur GBPUSD dans les 2 heures suivant la publication de l’événement à 2023-01-12 00:30.

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