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There is a 71.43% chance of OJ trending downwards

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect OJ to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect OJ to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-04-03 00:30 if the released value is > A$5.6B. A price movement of 535 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Mar 00:30
09 Jan 00:30
05 Dec 00:30
01 Aug 01:30
06 Jun 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $120 movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-04-03 00:30.

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