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There is a 70% chance of LB trending downwards

Based on past United States New Home Sales news events there is a 70% chance of LB trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 0.734M. A price movement of 940 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

26 Nov 15:00
25 Sep 14:00
23 Apr 14:00
29 Mar 14:00
14 Mar 14:00
05 Mar 15:00
31 Jan 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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