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There is a 66.67% chance of USDCAD trending downwards

Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-09-24 08:00 if the released value is > 89.3. A price movement of 20 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Aug 08:00
24 Jun 08:00
27 Jan 09:00
25 Oct 08:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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