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There is a 66.67% chance of NG trending upwards

Based on past Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of NG trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0%. A price movement of 22 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 Apr 11:45
21 Jan 12:45
10 Dec 12:45
29 Oct 12:45
10 Sep 11:45
30 Apr 11:45
12 Mar 12:45
12 Dec 12:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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