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There is a 66.67% chance of HG trending upwards

Based on past Australia Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 66.67% chance of HG trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 3.3%. A price movement of 10 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Dec 00:30
04 Nov 00:30
04 Oct 01:30
03 Sep 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $0 movement on HG within 2 hours following the event release at 04 Sep 01:30.

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