Based on past United States Fed Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of FV trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 31 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
29 Jan 19:00![]() |
11 Dec 19:00![]() |
30 Oct 18:00![]() |
19 Jun 18:00![]() |
20 Mar 18:00![]() |
30 Jan 19:00![]() |
19 Dec 19:00![]() |
26 Sep 18:00![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).