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There is a 66.67% chance of DX trending upwards

Based on past Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of DX trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is = 1%. A price movement of 30 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Aug 04:30
04 Jun 04:30
07 May 04:30
02 Apr 03:30
05 Mar 03:30
05 Feb 03:30
02 Oct 04:30
04 Sep 04:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect USDCHF to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

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