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There is a 66.67% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards

Based on past Australia Balance of Trade news events there is a 66.67% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < A$5.500B. A price movement of 16 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Feb 00:30
04 Jul 01:30
05 Apr 00:30
07 Mar 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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