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Be very careful of upcoming volatility. We expect a $21.124 movement on GF.

Be very careful of upcoming volatility because of Canada Balance of Trade news event later today. Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Canada, we expect a $21.124 movement on GF within 2 hours following the event release at 04 Sep 12:30. We expect this to happen if the released value is < C$-0.4B. A price movement of 16 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $250 movement on AUDUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 04 Sep 12:30.

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We expect ZB to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

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