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We expect ES to trend upwards today with a 72.73% chance.

We expect ES to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United States New Home Sales news events there is a 72.73% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 0.865M. A price movement of 4,425 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Dec 15:00
25 Nov 15:00
24 Sep 14:00
24 Jul 14:00
23 Jun 14:00
23 Apr 14:00
24 Mar 14:00
26 Feb 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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