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There is a 83.33% chance of CC trending downwards

Based on past Canada Ivey PMI s.a news events there is a 83.33% chance of CC trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 53.2. A price movement of 4,950 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Aug 14:00
07 Jul 14:00
05 Jun 14:00
06 Mar 15:00
07 Feb 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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