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There is a 66.67% chance of NG trending downwards

Based on past United States Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 66.67% chance of NG trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 0.5%. A price movement of 9 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Sep 12:30
15 May 12:30
15 Apr 12:30
17 Mar 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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