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We expect 6J to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Industrial Production YoY events in Euro Area, we expect 6J to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect 6J to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 13 May 09:00 if the released value is < -12.4%. A price movement of 0 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Feb 10:00
15 Jan 10:00
14 Oct 09:00
14 Aug 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect SP to trend upwards with a 75% chance.

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