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We expect NE to trend downwards right now.

Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect NE to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NE to trend downwards for the next 4 hours because the released value is = 0%. A price movement of 0 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Mar 12:45
23 Jan 12:45
24 Oct 11:45
12 Sep 11:45
25 Jul 11:45
07 Mar 12:45
24 Jan 12:45
13 Dec 12:45
25 Oct 11:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect ED to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

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