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We expect USDCAD to trend upwards today.

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Germany, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 77.78% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 30 Sep 07:55 if the released value is = 5%. A price movement of 19 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Jul 07:55
01 Jul 07:55
29 Mar 08:55
01 Mar 08:55
31 Jan 08:55
04 Jan 08:55
30 Oct 08:55

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $680 movement on NZDUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 30 Sep 07:55.

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