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We expect USDCAD to trend upwards today with a 83.33% chance.

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Change events in Germany, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. This will happen if the released value is > 2K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Jul 07:55
29 May 07:55
29 Mar 08:55
31 Jan 08:55
30 Oct 08:55

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $190 movement on GBPUSD within 4 hours following the release of Consumer Confidence.

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We expect a $151.338 movement on USDCHF within 12 hours following the event release at 31 Jul 07:55.

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