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We expect a $2760 movement on GBPUSD within 48 hours following the release of Inflation Rate YoY Flash.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Flash events in Euro Area, we expect a 276 pip movement on GBPUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-10-01 09:00. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-10-01 09:00 if the released value is = 2.2%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Jul 09:00
07 Jan 10:00
29 Nov 10:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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