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We expect ES to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect ES to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 2.3% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Jan 13:00
28 Nov 13:00
30 Sep 12:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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