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We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards today.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United Kingdom, we expect a 26 pip movement on GBPUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-09-17 06:00. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-09-17 06:00 if the released value is = 3.8%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Jun 06:00
18 Sep 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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