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There is a 75% chance of EURUSD trending upwards

We expect a $110 movement on EURUSD within 4 hours following the release of Inflation Rate YoY at 2025-09-17 06:00. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-09-17 06:00 if the released value is < 3.8%. A price movement of 11 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

26 Mar 07:00
15 Jan 07:00
16 Oct 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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