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There is a 75% chance of NZDUSD trending upwards

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-09-16 12:30 if the released value is < 0.2%. A price movement of 19 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Mar 12:30
14 Feb 13:30
16 Jan 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect NKD to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

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