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There is a 71.43% chance of SM trending downwards

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in United Kingdom, we expect SM to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 4.7%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Jun 06:00
13 May 06:00
15 Apr 06:00
17 Dec 07:00
10 Sep 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 29 pip movement on USDCAD within 4 hours following the event release.

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We expect a 92 pip movement on S within 48 hours following the event release.

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