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We expect a 14 pip movement on EURUSD within 4 hours following the event release.

We expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 8. A price movement of 14 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Jul 01:30
10 Jun 01:30
11 Feb 00:30
12 Nov 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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