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We expect NIY to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect NIY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > A$5B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Mar 00:30
09 Jan 00:30
03 Oct 01:30
05 Sep 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $290 movement on USDJPY within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-09-04 01:30.

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We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards for the next 48 hours.

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