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We expect ES to trend downwards with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Japan, we could see a 26 pip movement on ES for the next 4 hours. ES could trend downwards for 4 hours because the released value is > 33.5

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Jul 05:00
29 May 05:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect ES to trend upwards today with a 87.5% chance.

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