Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, we expect a $379 movement on USDJPY within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-08-19 23:50. We expect USDJPY to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-08-19 23:50 if the released value is < ¥196.2B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
16 Jul 23:50 |
18 Mar 23:50 |
19 Nov 23:50 |
20 Aug 23:50 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
